Hidden Vigorish

Detailed Analysis of The Pittsburgh Pirates

Pedro Spraying the Ball to all Fields

The more I see of Pedro Alvarez the more I see a changed hitter this season. His strikeouts are down considerably. Pedro’s strikeout rate of 20.6% this season would shatter his career best. Coming into this season Pedro had struckout more than 30% of the plate appearances in his career. But not only is he striking out less, he is also hitting to all fields. Just look at the location of the balls he has hit this season compared to 2013:
 

2014
pulled – 37
center field – 35
opposite field – 35
 
2013:
pulled – 162
center field – 152
opposite field – 62
 

As you can see Pedro is spraying the ball consistently to all fields. So if Pedro is a changed hitter why is he still struggling to keep his batting average over the Mendoza Line? It can’t be denied that luck is a huge factor. Pedro has a career .351 batting average when he hits the ball to the opposite field. This season he is hitting just .200 on balls to the opposite field. I can’t envision that number holding up. If Pedro continues to hit to all fields as he has been this season, he should see a significant bounce in his batting average.
 

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